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Exposing the Big Game

It’s Hard to Believe How Close This Asteroid Is Going to Get to Earth

Exposing the Big Game's avatarThe Extinction Chronicles

A simulation showing 99942 Apophis’s expected path past Earth. The blue dots represent orbiting satellites, and the pink line represents the International Space Station.
GIF: NASA

While space agencies simulate an asteroid impact this week at the 2019 Planetary Defense Conference, there’s a real asteroid they’re monitoring that will make a close appearance in just 10 years.

99942 Apophis is among the most infamous near-Earth objects. When astronomers at Kitt Peak National Observatory discovered it in 2004, they initially calculated a 2.7 percent chance that it would hit Earth and assigned it a level 4 on the Torino Scale, the highest assignment for a near-Earth object ever. Though it has since been downgraded and is expected to pose no threat to the planet, it’s a real-life version of the simulated asteroid scenarios that scientists are currently playing out.

“The Apophis close approach…

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