Don’t believe the polls — Trump is winning

Exposing the Big Game's avatarThe Extinction Chronicles

BY JONATHAN JAKUBOWSKI AND CHRISTOS A. MAKRIDIS, OPINION CONTRIBUTORS — 10/27/20 01:30 PM EDT  2,311THE VIEWS EXPRESSED BY CONTRIBUTORS ARE THEIR OWN AND NOT THE VIEW OF THE HILL151

https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly

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We predict that PresidentTrumpis going to win the 2020 presidential election — and win big.

Whilethe majority of the pollssuggest that Democratic presidential nomineeJoe Bidenis leading, or at best that it’s close, those polls suffer from at least three problems.

First, the tone of the questions. There is significant evidence frombehavioral psychologythat suggests that the way a question is framed predetermines the range of potential answers. In fact, Gallup hasfoundthat respondents can answer very differently to questions with the same topic even in the same survey based on the language that’s used. And the use of metaphors can evendwarfthe importance…

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