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The U.S. intelligence community assesses Russia is preparing for a “prolonged conflict” in Ukraine that is likely to become “more unpredictable and escalatory” due to a “mismatch” between Vladimir Putin’s ambitions and military capabilities, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines testified Tuesday.
Why it matters:Both Russia and Ukraine believe they can continue to make progress militarily, turning the conflict into a “war of attrition” with no “viable” prospects for peace negotiations in the near term, Haines told the Senate Armed Services Committee.
The big picture:While Russian forces have refocused on the eastern Donbas region after failing to capture Kyiv in the first few weeks of the war, the U.S. views this as “only a temporary shift.”
- “We…
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Exposing the Big Game 