Potential outcomes on 1.5C, climate finance, adaptation funding, loss and damage, World Bank reform and African gas

Fiona Harveyin Sharm el-SheikhWed 9 Nov 2022 02.00 EST

Meeting the target of limiting heating to 1.5C

At Cop26 in Glasgow,countries agreed to limit global heating to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. The pledges on emissions cuts they came forward with were not enough to meet this goal, however, so they agreed to return this year with strengthened commitments. Few have done so – only 24 submitted new national plans on emissions to the UN in advance of Cop27.

Likelihood:0/5

Verdict:There will not be enough progress here to meet the 1.5C goal, but there is a baby step forward – the UN estimates that the improved plans that have been submitted will…