Here’s How Bad a Nuclear War Would Actually Be

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Detailed modeling of missile trajectories in the case of a U.S.-Russia nuclear war. (Courtesy of Future of Life Institute)

Detailed modeling of missile trajectories in the case of a U.S.-Russia nuclear war.

Courtesy of Future of Life Institute

IDEAS

https://time.com/6290977/nuclear-war-impact-essay/

BYMAX TEGMARK

JUNE 29, 2023 6:00 AM EDT

Tegmark is a professor doing AI research at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

We know that an all-out U.S.-Russia nuclear war would be bad. But how bad, exactly? How do your chances of surviving the explosions, radiation, and nuclear winter depend on where you live? The past year’s unprecedented nuclear saber-rattling and last weekend’s chaos in Russia has made this question timely. To help answer it, I’ve worked with an amazing interdisciplinary group of scientists (see end credits) to produce the most scientifically realistic simulation of a nuclear war using only unclassified data, and visualize it as avideo. It combines detailed modeling of nuclear targeting, missile trajectories, blasts and the electromagnetic pulse, and of how black carbon smoke…

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