Avian Influenza Major Setback for the Patagonian Seal Population

It May Take a Century Before a Southern Elephant Seal Colony Returns to Original Numbers

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Healthy elephant seals lie on the beach under blue-orange sky
Healthy elephant seals rest on a beach in Argentina. (Valeria Falabella – WCS Argentina)

It may take 100 years for the southern elephant seal colony of Península Valdés in Argentine Patagonia to look like it did in 2022. A study published in Marine Mammal Science projected population trajectories after the 2023 epidemic of the High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza H5N1 virus, which killed almost all newborn pups and an unknown number of adults. 

Had the episode killed only pups, the future population could recover to 2022 levels (18,000 adult females) as soon as 2029, and as late as 2051. This is because natural mortality is always high at the early stages of life for the species. But if the disease had mainly impacted a significant part of the reproductive female population, the expected year of recovery would be 2091. 

There are even worse possible scenarios, such as when female mortality is combined with lost reproductive opportunities due to adult male mortality, or when the epidemic repeats and kills seals that are susceptible. In the worst cases, the population would not look like that of 2022 until the mid 22nd century.

many dead elephant seals lie on beach Argentina, victims of bird flu outbreak
Dead elephant seals line a beach in Argentina in fall 2023. Avian influenza  caused a catastrophic die-off of thousands of elephant seals in Argentina, raising concerns for wildlife and human cross-species transmission. (Ralph Vanstreels, UC Davis)

The first real-world test of the hypothetical scenarios occurred during the 2024 breeding season. Counts yielded support to scenarios of high adult mortality, with 67% fewer reproductive females at beaches that had typically been the most densely populated of the entire colony (6,938 females in 2022 vs. 2,256 in 2024). Differences could be attributed to mortality, a delay in the arrival of animals, animals that skipped a season, or a redistribution and colonization of new places. Yet, data for the molting season strongly suggest that adult mortality explains the results. 

So far, evidence suggests that the viral episode significantly impacted adult individuals, reversing the conservation status of a population previously having no significant threats to stable growth. It demonstrates how in just a few weeks, the future of the population mutated from no conservation concern to quite vulnerable and uncertain. 

Climate change and risk of infectious disease

The risk of infectious diseases impacting natural populations could increase with the worsening of climate change. 

“Avian influenza has starkly demonstrated the devastating impact that infectious diseases can have on wildlife populations,” said study co-author Marcela Uhart, director of UC Davis’ Latin America program at the Karen C. Drayer Wildlife Health Center. “These effects are likely to intensify under current and projected climate change conditions. It is imperative that we significantly strengthen our upstream prevention efforts to mitigate future risks.”

Claudio Campagna, WCS Argentina senior advisor and also co-author of the study, pointed out that “only resilient populations with healthy numbers and ample distribution may survive these threats and remain safe from most of the many causes of mortality associated with human activities, such as high-impact fisheries, large-scale agriculture and mining, and pollution. Yet, the more global warming and ocean acidification are out of control, the worse for biodiversity in general, making epidemics a path toward potential extinctions.”

Measuring impact

These scenarios are supported by decades of demographic and animal health data gathered by researchers from the Wildlife Conservation Society Argentina (WCS Argentina), the National Research Council of Argentina (CONICET) and UC Davis, supported by the Liz Claiborne and Art Ortenberg Foundation, a key donor for monitoring coastal-marine species in Patagonia.

“With decades of growth, the southern elephant seal of Península Valdes was a healthy population and a protagonist of amazing natural spectacles—until the avian flu of 2023 left thousands of dead calves and our eyes in tears,” concluded Valeria Falabella, WCS Argentina director of coastal marine conservation and study co-author. “The continuous monitoring carried out by WCS Argentina and CONICET allows us to measure the impact, and now more than ever we will need the support of our donors to continue monitoring this and other sentinel species of the integrity of our coastal and marine ecosystems.”

Crows May Grasp Basic Geometry: Study Finds the Brainy Birds Can Tell the Difference Between Shapes

Scientists tested crows on their ability to recognize “geometric regularity,” a skill previously assumed to be unique to humans

Sarah Kuta – Daily CorrespondentApril 14, 2025

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Large black bird perched against a green backdrop
Carrion crows (Corvus corone) can tell the difference between geometric shapes, according to new research. Pexels

Crows are arguably among the smartest creatures on the planet, possessing some cognitive abilities that rival those of 5- to 7-year-old human children. Now, a new study adds basic geometry to the list of subjects these brainy birds seem to be able to master.

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In a paper published in the journal Science Advances last week, researchers report that carrion crows can recognize “geometric regularity,” meaning they may discern traits like length of sides, parallel lines, right angles and symmetry. In the study, they could tell the difference between shapes like stars, crescents and squares, as well as between squares and irregular figures with four sides.

Researchers once thought this ability was unique to humans. But the findings suggest that’s not true—and they hint at the possibility that other species may be capable of similar feats, too.

“The crows show a sort of intuitive, strictly perceptual recognition of geometric properties,” says Giorgio Vallortigara, a neuroscientist at the University of Trento in Italy who was not involved with the work, to Scientific American’s Gayoung Lee.

To test the birds’ mathematical abilities, scientists in Germany placed two male carrion crows (Corvus corone) in front of a digital screen in a laboratory. They displayed six shapes on the screen, then trained the birds to peck at the outlier—the one that looked different from all the others. Whenever the birds chose correctly, researchers rewarded them with a tasty snack, either a mealworm or a bird seed pellet.Report This Ad

At first, the researchers made the outliers obvious—such as one flower amid five crescents, reports NPR’s Nell Greenfieldboyce. But as the birds got more comfortable with the task at hand, the team made the experiment increasingly challenging. They showed the crows similar-looking squares, parallelograms and other irregular four-sided figures.

Even as the game got more difficult, the crows could still pick out the outlier. They continued correctly pecking at the outlier, even after the scientists stopped giving them treats.

Illustration of bird facing screen with shapes on it
Researchers rewarded the birds with a tasty treat—like a mealworm—when they correctly pecked at the outlier shape on a digital screen. Schmidbauer et al. / Science Advances, 2025

Why would crows need to be able to tell shapes apart? Researchers don’t know for sure. But they suspect this ability may help them with navigation and orientation as they fly around, they write in the paper. The birds may also have developed this ability to help them forage for food or identify other individual crows—including mates—based on their facial features.

“All these capabilities, at the end of the day, from a biological point of view, have evolved because they provide a survival advantage or a reproductive advantage,” study senior author Andreas Nieder, a neurophysiologist at the University of Tübingen in Germany, tells Scientific American.Report This Ad

In the future, researchers hope to investigate which areas of the birds’ brains are helping them excel at geometry. Birds don’t have a cerebral cortex—at least, not in the same way that humans do. But for us, that part of the brain is responsible for thinking and other complex functions. Crows still have these abilities, so the researchers posit there must be something else going on inside their heads.

“Obviously, evolution found two different ways of giving rise to behaviorally flexible animals,” Nieder says to Scientific American.

The team also hopes future research will probe the “geometric regularity” abilities of other species. In the past, researchers have run similar experiments with baboons. But even after extensive training, the primates didn’t seem to share our mathematical understanding.

Still, scientists say it’s unlikely that humans and crows are the only animals with this ability. “It’s just now opening this field of investigation,” Nieder tells NPR.Report This Ad

Crows are the whiz kids of the animal kingdom. Past research has found that they can vocally count up to four, distinguish between human voices and faces, and grasp a pattern-forming concept thought to be unique to humans. Some species can build tools for future use, while others are likely aware of their own body size.

These and other examples of animals’ intelligence are upending the long-held notion that humans are the only species capable of high-level cognitive functioning.

“Humans do not have a monopoly on skills such as numerical thinking, abstraction, tool manufacture and planning ahead,” Heather Williams, a biologist at Williams College, told CNN’s Scottie Andrew last year. “No one should be surprised that crows are ‘smart.’”

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Commentary: No season needed on sandhill cranes in Wisconsin

The author says Wisconsin needs hunters and non-hunters to work together to support natural resources and that a sandhill crane season will only cause a larger divide between both groups. (Photo by Bob Drieslein)

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The proposal for a hunting season on sandhill cranes, like all hunting seasons, should be made based on biological information and sociological concerns.

To paint people who oppose a hunting season as anti-hunters or as those without an interest in hunting, is dead wrong. I hunt, am from a family with a history of hunting, and I oppose opening a season on sandhill cranes in Wisconsin.

I don’t believe a season on sandhill cranes is right for Wisconsin. I realize other states with big populations of sandhill cranes, such as Nebraska, also have declined to have a season on sandhills. So not opening a hunting season on this unique bird is not unusual.

If the reason for a hunting season is solely based on crop damage, there is a seed additive, called Avipel, that farmers can use to treat their corn and help deter cranes from eating tender young shoots.

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To further help farmers, Gov. Tony Evers has proposed adding $3.7 million each year to the new state budget for an abatement assistance program for corn producers. It will help to reimburse producers for the purchase of the seed treatment that discourages sandhill cranes from eating the seed.

This is just a start. Hopefully, in the future research will come up with additional ways to deter sandhill cranes from damaging other crops, such as potatoes.

The Wisconsin Legislative Council Study Committee on Sandhill Cranes should have recommended updating the agricultural damage law to allow farmers to get reimbursed for damage caused by sandhill cranes.

Currently the law requires a species to be hunted in order to pay crop damage to farmers. By adding cranes, without requiring that a species be hunted, would have helped farmers throughout the state much more than a limited hunting season in the fall when damage takes place in the spring.

Even that law has an inconsistency because it allows damage from mountain lions to be paid out, yet mountain lions are not legally hunted in Wisconsin. This was another opportunity for the legislative study committee to REALLY study the problem and come up with alternate solutions.

There are other alternatives to help farmers – one that is on this spring’s Conservation Congress April 14 agenda, that of issuing a conservation stamp to help pay for ag damage caused by cranes.

This would allow all citizens to contribute to help pay farmers for crop damages. And, indeed, wildlife belongs to ALL citizens, as noted in the North American Model of Wildlife Management. Everyone should be involved in funding damage to crops that everyone consumes.

Wisconsin is not ready for a sandhill crane hunting season.

Why not? Because sandhill cranes are special. They have long been considered a non-game bird. They have not been hunted for decades. To many citizens, they are a harbinger, just as are robins, of the arrival of spring.

Just because the federal government allows states in the Mississippi Flyway to hold a season on sandhill cranes, does that mean that Wisconsin has to participate?

Would such a season pass the smell test?

Precedent shows that years ago other states in the Mississippi Flyway held an early season on teal, but Wisconsin held off because it was considered an important breeding ground for blue-winged and green-winged teal. What is hunted in one state is not always appropriate for every other state.

Human attitude surveys show that citizens have legitimate concerns. A study conducted by the UW Survey Center in 2024 found only 17% of state residents would support a sandhill crane season, while 48% opposed it.

To say that all hunters support a crane season is misleading. In 2017, the Conservation Congress asked a question about beginning a crane season and it won, but just barely by 300 votes: 2,349 voting yes and 2,049 voting no. It was rejected in 18 counties.

Although open to the public, anyone who has attended the spring Conservation Congress meetings realizes that most of the people who attend are hunters, trappers, and anglers.

What is not needed is a season on sandhill cranes.

What is needed is to bring hunters and non-hunters together so that both carry their fair share of funding for natural resources management, not further divide them.

In Wisconsin, natural resources management is funded by license sales. If you don’t have a hunting, fishing, or trapping license in your pocket or purse, you are not the major funder for wildlife management, fisheries management, and conservation law enforcement.

We need non-hunters to have some skin in the game. I’d point to Minnesota’s 3⁄8 of 1% on the sales tax that helps to continue natural resources funding in that state.

Wisconsin needs hunters and non-hunters to work together to support natural resources. A sandhill crane season will only cause a larger divide between both groups.

Tim Eisele, of Madison, is a freelance outdoor writer/photographer and a third-generation Wisconsin hunter whose love has always been waterfowl hunting.